Old Dominion
W-L: ( 5- 7) PR = 91.1471Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 831 A So Carolina SEC ( 9- 3, 96.7) 19-23 907 H Ea Carolina American ( 7- 5, 90.6) 14-20 914 H Va Tech ACC ( 6- 6, 94.4) 17-37 928 A Bowl. Green MA ( 7- 5, 90.0) 30-27 1005 A Coastal Car SUN ( 6- 6, 90.6) 37-45 1012 A Georgia St SUN ( 3- 9, 88.6) 21-14 1019 H Texas State SUN ( 7- 5, 91.5) 24-14 1024 H Georgia So SUN ( 8- 4, 92.7) 47-19 1102 A App St SUN ( 5- 6, 90.8) 20-28 1116 H J Madison SUN ( 8- 4, 92.3) 32-35 1123 H Marshall SUN (10- 3, 94.5) 35-42 1130 A Arkansas State SUN ( 7- 5, 90.2) 40-32
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
831 A So Carolina 19-23 -4 -6 1.00
907 H Ea Carolina 14-20 -6 1 --- -6.45
914 H Va Tech 17-37 -20 -2 - -2.65
928 A Bowl. Green 30-27 3 0 + 2.71
1005 A Coastal Car 37-45 -8 0 -- -4.60
1012 A Georgia St 21-14 7 2 + 3.37
1019 H Texas State 24-14 10 1 ++ 4.41
1024 H Georgia So 47-19 28 -1 ++ 5.64
1102 A App St 20-28 -8 -1 -- -4.46
1116 H J Madison 32-35 -3 0 - -2.74
1123 H Marshall 35-42 -7 -2 - -2.58
1130 A Arkansas State 40-32 8 0 ++ 4.92
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 907 H Ea Carolina 14-20 -6 1 --- -6.45 1005 A Coastal Car 37-45 -8 0 -- -4.60 1102 A App St 20-28 -8 -1 -- -4.46 914 H Va Tech 17-37 -20 -2 - -2.65 1116 H J Madison 32-35 -3 0 - -2.74 1123 H Marshall 35-42 -7 -2 - -2.58 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 1019 H Texas State 24-14 10 1 ++ 4.41 1024 H Georgia So 47-19 28 -1 ++ 5.64 1130 A Arkansas State 40-32 8 0 ++ 4.92 928 A Bowl. Green 30-27 3 0 + 2.71 1012 A Georgia St 21-14 7 2 + 3.37 |
Old Dominion Evaluation
The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria:
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
| Opponent | Who Gets the Point? | Head-2-Head Point |
Common Opponent Point |
Power Rating Point |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Boston Col ` | Boston Col ` | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Boston Col ` | |
| California | California | California | ||
| Clemson | Clemson | Clemson 2- 1 vs 0- 3 | ||
| Duke | Duke | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Duke | |
| Florida St | Old Dominion | Old Dominion | ||
| Georgia Tech | Georgia Tech | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) | Georgia Tech | |
| Louisville | Louisville | Louisville | ||
| Miami | Miami | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Miami | |
| UNC | UNC | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | UNC | |
| NC St | NC St | NC St | ||
| Pittsburgh | Pittsburgh | Pittsburgh | ||
| SMU | SMU | SMU | ||
| Stanford | Old Dominion | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Old Dominion | |
| Syracuse | Syracuse | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Syracuse | |
| Virginia | Virginia | insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) | Virginia | |
| Va Tech | Va Tech | Va Tech | ||
| Wake Forest | Wake Forest | Wake Forest | ||
| Army | Army | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Army | |
| Charlotte | Old Dominion | insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) | Old Dominion | |
| Ea Carolina | Ea Carolina | Ea Carolina | ||
| Fla Atlantic | Old Dominion | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Old Dominion | |
| Memphis | Memphis | Memphis | ||
| Navy | Navy | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Navy | |
| No Texas | Old Dominion | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Old Dominion | |
| Rice | Old Dominion | Old Dominion | ||
| So Florida | Old Dominion | Old Dominion | ||
| Temple | Old Dominion | tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) | Old Dominion | |
| Tulane | Tulane | Tulane | ||
| Tulsa | Old Dominion | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) | Old Dominion | |
| UAB | Old Dominion | Old Dominion | ||
| UTSA | Old Dominion | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) | Old Dominion | |
| Arizona | Arizona | Arizona | ||
| Arizona St | Arizona St | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Arizona St | |
| BYU | BYU | BYU | ||
| Baylor | Baylor | Baylor | ||
| Cincinnati | Cincinnati | Cincinnati | ||
| Colorado | Colorado | Colorado | ||
| Houston | Houston | Houston | ||
| Iowa St | Iowa St | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Iowa St | |
| Kansas | Kansas | Kansas | ||
| Kansas St | Kansas St | Kansas St | ||
| Oklahoma St | Old Dominion | Old Dominion | ||
| TCU | TCU | TCU | ||
| Texas Tech | Texas Tech | Texas Tech | ||
| UCF | UCF | UCF | ||
| Utah | Utah | Utah | ||
| We Virginia | We Virginia | We Virginia | ||
| Illinois | Illinois | Illinois | ||
| Indiana | Indiana | Indiana | ||
| Iowa | Iowa | Iowa | ||
| Maryland | Maryland | Maryland | ||
| Michigan | Michigan | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Michigan | |
| Michigan St | Michigan St | Michigan St | ||
| Minnesota | Minnesota | Minnesota | ||
| Nebraska | Nebraska | Nebraska | ||
| Northwestern | Northwestern | Northwestern | ||
| Ohio St | Ohio St | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Ohio St | |
| Oregon | Oregon | Oregon | ||
| Penn St | Penn St | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Penn St | |
| Purdue | Old Dominion | Old Dominion | ||
| Rutgers | Rutgers | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Rutgers | |
| UCLA | UCLA | UCLA | ||
| USC | USC | USC | ||
| Washington | Washington | Washington | ||
| Wisconsin | Wisconsin | Wisconsin | ||
| Florida Intl | Old Dominion | Old Dominion | ||
| Jacksonv. St | Old Dominion | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Old Dominion | |
| Kennesaw St | Old Dominion | Old Dominion | ||
| Liberty | Old Dominion | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Old Dominion | |
| La Tech | Old Dominion | Old Dominion | ||
| Middle Tenn | Old Dominion | Old Dominion | ||
| NM St | Old Dominion | Old Dominion | ||
| SHouston St | Old Dominion | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Old Dominion | |
| UTEP | Old Dominion | Old Dominion | ||
| We Kentucky | Old Dominion | Old Dominion | ||
| UMass | Old Dominion | Old Dominion | ||
| Notre Dame | Notre Dame | Notre Dame | ||
| UConn | UConn | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | UConn | |
| Akron | Old Dominion | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) | Old Dominion | |
| Ball St | Old Dominion | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) | Old Dominion | |
| Bowl. Green | Old Dominion | Old Dominion | ||
| Buffalo | Old Dominion | Old Dominion | ||
| Cen Michigan | Old Dominion | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Old Dominion | |
| Ea Michigan | Old Dominion | Old Dominion | ||
| Kent State | Old Dominion | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Old Dominion | |
| MiamiOH | Old Dominion | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Old Dominion | |
| No Illinois | Old Dominion | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Old Dominion | |
| Ohio | Ohio | Ohio | ||
| Toledo | Old Dominion | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Old Dominion | |
| We Michigan | Old Dominion | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) | Old Dominion | |
| Air Force | Old Dominion | Old Dominion | ||
| Boise State | Boise State | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Boise State | |
| Colorado St | Colorado St | Colorado St | ||
| Fresno St | Fresno St | Fresno St | ||
| Hawaii | Old Dominion | Old Dominion | ||
| Nevada | Old Dominion | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Old Dominion | |
| New Mexico | Old Dominion | Old Dominion | ||
| San Diego St | Old Dominion | Old Dominion | ||
| San Jose St | San Jose St | San Jose St | ||
| UNLV | UNLV | UNLV | ||
| Utah St | Old Dominion | Old Dominion | ||
| Wyoming | Old Dominion | Old Dominion | ||
| Oregon St | Old Dominion | Old Dominion | ||
| Wash St | Wash St | Wash St | ||
| Alabama | Alabama | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Alabama | |
| Arkansas | Arkansas | Arkansas | ||
| Auburn | Auburn | Auburn | ||
| Florida | Florida | Florida | ||
| Georgia | Georgia | Georgia | ||
| Kentucky | Kentucky | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Kentucky | |
| LSU | LSU | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | LSU | |
| Missouri | Missouri | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Missouri | |
| Miss St | Old Dominion | Old Dominion | ||
| Oklahoma | Oklahoma | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Oklahoma | |
| Ole Miss | Ole Miss | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) | Ole Miss | |
| So Carolina | So Carolina | So Carolina | ||
| Tennessee | Tennessee | Tennessee | ||
| Texas | Texas | Texas | ||
| Texas A&M | Texas A&M | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) | Texas A&M | |
| Vanderbilt | Vanderbilt | tied - ( 1- 2) ( 1- 2) | Vanderbilt | |
| App St | App St | App St | ||
| Arkansas State | Old Dominion | Old Dominion | ||
| Coastal Car | Coastal Car | Coastal Car | ||
| Georgia So | Old Dominion | Old Dominion | ||
| Georgia St | Old Dominion | Old Dominion | ||
| J Madison | J Madison | J Madison | ||
| Louisiana | Louisiana | Louisiana 4- 1 vs 2- 3 | ||
| Marshall | Marshall | Marshall | ||
| So Miss | Old Dominion | Old Dominion 2- 2 vs 0- 4 | ||
| So Alabama | Old Dominion | Old Dominion 3- 1 vs 1- 3 | ||
| Texas State | Old Dominion | Old Dominion | ||
| Troy | Old Dominion | insuffient: ( 3- 1)( 2- 2) | Old Dominion | |
| La-Monroe | Old Dominion | insuffient: ( 2- 2)( 1- 3) | Old Dominion |
PowerWise = 52
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 12.10
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
0 A So Carolina ( 9- 3, 96.7) 19-23 -3.24 15.02 0.91 1.01 -2.35
0 H Ea Carolina ( 7- 5, 90.6) 14-20 -9.30 8.96 -0.91 1.01 -10.29
0 H Va Tech ( 6- 6, 94.4) 17-37 -5.49 12.76 -0.91 1.01 -6.45
0 A Bowl. Green ( 7- 5, 90.0) 30-27 -9.94 8.31 0.91 1.01 9.30
0 A Coastal Car ( 6- 6, 90.6) 37-45 -9.25 9.00 0.91 1.01 -8.42
0 A Georgia St ( 3- 9, 88.6) 21-14 -11.29 6.97 0.91 1.01 7.94
0 H Texas State ( 7- 5, 91.5) 24-14 -8.44 9.82 -0.91 1.01 8.99
0 H Georgia So ( 8- 4, 92.7) 47-19 -7.21 11.05 -0.91 1.01 10.23
0 A App St ( 5- 6, 90.8) 20-28 -9.12 9.14 0.91 1.01 -8.29
0 H J Madison ( 8- 4, 92.3) 32-35 -7.59 10.67 -0.91 1.01 -8.56
0 H Marshall (10- 3, 94.5) 35-42 -5.43 12.83 -0.91 1.01 -6.39
0 A Arkansas State ( 7- 5, 90.2) 40-32 -9.74 8.52 0.91 1.01 9.51
------
-4.80
|
winning pts = 45.9661 losing points = -50.7649
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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